Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crotone win with a probability of 48.11%. A win for Alessandria had a probability of 26.4% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crotone win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 2-0 (8.71%). The likeliest Alessandria win was 0-1 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.

Result
Crotone	Draw	Alessandria
48.11%	25.48%	26.4%

Both teams to score 51.62%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.4%

51.59%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.61%

73.38%

Crotone Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.54%

21.46%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.51%

54.48%

Alessandria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.72%

34.27%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.02%

70.97%

Score Analysis

Crotone 48.1%

Alessandria 26.4%

Draw 25.48%

Crotone	Draw	Alessandria
1-0 @ 11.31% 2-1 @ 9.33% 2-0 @ 8.71% 3-1 @ 4.79% 3-0 @ 4.47% 3-2 @ 2.56% 4-1 @ 1.84% 4-0 @ 1.72% 4-2 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.39% Total : 48.1%	1-1 @ 12.12% 0-0 @ 7.35% 2-2 @ 4.99% 3-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.48%	0-1 @ 7.87% 1-2 @ 6.49% 0-2 @ 4.22% 1-3 @ 2.32% 2-3 @ 1.78% 0-3 @ 1.51% Other @ 2.22% Total : 26.4%