Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Frosinone win with a probability of 64.73%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Perugia had a probability of 13.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Frosinone win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.29%) and 2-1 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.12%), while for a Perugia win it was 0-1 (5.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Frosinone in this match.

Result
Frosinone	Draw	Perugia
64.73% ( 0)	21.71% ( -0.25)	13.56% ( 0.24)

Both teams to score 42.66% (

1.29)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.07% (

1.4)

52.92% (

-1.41)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.47% (

1.18)

74.53% (

-1.19)

Frosinone Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.3% (

0.48)

15.69% (

-0.48)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.24% (

0.88)

44.76% (

-0.88)

Perugia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

50.6% (

1.25)

49.39% (

-1.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.76% (

0.86)

84.23% (

-0.87)

Score Analysis

Frosinone 64.72%

Perugia 13.56%

Draw 21.7%

Frosinone	Draw	Perugia
1-0 @ 14.35% ( -0.57) 2-0 @ 13.29% ( -0.3) 2-1 @ 9.38% ( 0.13) 3-0 @ 8.21% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 5.79% ( 0.17) 4-0 @ 3.8% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 2.68% ( 0.12) 3-2 @ 2.04% ( 0.13) 5-0 @ 1.41% ( 0.04) 5-1 @ 0.99% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 0.95% ( 0.08) Other @ 1.85% Total : 64.72%	1-1 @ 10.12% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 7.75% ( -0.44) 2-2 @ 3.31% ( 0.16) Other @ 0.52% Total : 21.7%	0-1 @ 5.47% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 3.57% ( 0.12) 0-2 @ 1.93% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.6% Total : 13.56%