Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genoa win with a probability of 72.88%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Cosenza Calcio had a probability of 9.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genoa win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.23%) and 3-0 (10.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.32%), while for a Cosenza Calcio win it was 0-1 (3.84%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Genoa would win this match.
-0.22) 
0.27) 
