Serie B | Gameweek 15
Dec 2, 2023 at 1pm UK
Stadio Alberto Braglia
Manconi (1'), Bozhanaj (70')
Pergreffi (36'), Bozhanaj (69')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Modena and Reggiana.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Modena win with a probability of 39.97%. A win for Reggiana had a probability of 31.96% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Modena win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.18%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest Reggiana win was 0-1 (10.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Modena would win this match.
| Result |
| Modena | Draw | Reggiana |
39.97% ( -0) | 28.07% ( 0.01) | 31.96% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 47.02% ( -0.02) |
| 41.04% ( -0.03) | 58.96% ( 0.02) |
| 20.56% ( -0.02) | 79.43% ( 0.02) |
| 71.17% ( -0.02) | 28.83% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.31% ( -0.02) | 64.69% ( 0.02) |
| 66.06% ( -0.02) | 33.93% ( 0.02) |
