Serie B | Gameweek 3
Aug 27, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Alberto Braglia
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Modena and Ternana.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Modena win with a probability of 45.67%. A win for Ternana had a probability of 30.23% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Modena win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.6%) and 2-0 (7.11%). The likeliest Ternana win was 1-2 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Modena would win this match.
| Result |
| Modena | Draw | Ternana |
45.67% ( -0.6) | 24.1% ( -0.2) | 30.23% ( 0.81) |
| Both teams to score 58.87% ( 1.2) |
| 56.67% ( 1.36) | 43.32% ( -1.37) |
| 34.28% ( 1.33) | 65.72% ( -1.33) |
| 80.85% ( 0.29) | 19.15% ( -0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 49.2% ( 0.48) | 50.8% ( -0.48) |
| 72.81% ( 1.23) | 27.18% ( -1.23) |
