Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pisa win with a probability of 41.48%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 31.31% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pisa win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (7.66%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 0-1 (9.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.
0.19) 
-0.05) 
