Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Frosinone win with a probability of 43.73%. A win for SPAL had a probability of 30.79% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Frosinone win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.04%) and 0-2 (7.45%). The likeliest SPAL win was 1-0 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Frosinone would win this match.
Result | ||
SPAL | Draw | Frosinone |
30.79% ( 0.52) | 25.47% ( 0.03) | 43.73% ( -0.55) |
Both teams to score 54.52% ( 0.18) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.84% ( 0.11) | 49.15% ( -0.12) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.78% ( 0.1) | 71.22% ( -0.1) |
SPAL Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.28% ( 0.42) | 29.72% ( -0.42) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.21% ( 0.51) | 65.79% ( -0.51) |
Frosinone Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.58% ( -0.21) | 22.42% ( 0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.06% ( -0.31) | 55.94% ( 0.31) |
Score Analysis |
SPAL | Draw | Frosinone |
1-0 @ 8.09% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 7.33% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 4.9% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 2.97% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 2.22% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 1.98% ( 0.06) Other @ 3.31% Total : 30.79% | 1-1 @ 12.08% 0-0 @ 6.66% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.48% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.11% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.47% | 0-1 @ 9.96% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 9.04% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 7.45% ( -0.13) 1-3 @ 4.51% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 3.71% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 2.73% 1-4 @ 1.68% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 1.39% ( -0.04) 2-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.23% Total : 43.73% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups: