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Serie B | Gameweek 33
Jul 10, 2020 at 8pm UK
Stadio Alberto Picco, La Spezia, Italy

Spezia Calcio
5 - 1
Cosenza

Galabinov (6'), Gyasi (20'), Mastinu (51', 55'), N'Zola (66')
Mora (8'), N'Zola (48')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Bruccini (63')
Schiavi (39'), Baez (42'), Bahlouli (62')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Spezia and Cosenza Calcio.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spezia Calcio win with a probability of 50.39%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Cosenza Calcio had a probability of 23.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spezia Calcio win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.59%) and 2-1 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.15%), while for a Cosenza Calcio win it was 0-1 (7.91%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spezia Calcio would win this match.

Result
SpeziaDrawCosenza Calcio
50.39%25.65%23.95%
Both teams to score 48.85%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.9%54.1%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.47%75.52%
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.5%21.5%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.45%54.55%
Cosenza Calcio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.23%37.77%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.46%74.54%
Score Analysis
    Spezia 50.39%
    Cosenza Calcio 23.95%
    Draw 25.65%
SpeziaDrawCosenza Calcio
1-0 @ 12.48%
2-0 @ 9.59%
2-1 @ 9.34%
3-0 @ 4.92%
3-1 @ 4.79%
3-2 @ 2.33%
4-0 @ 1.89%
4-1 @ 1.84%
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 50.39%
1-1 @ 12.15%
0-0 @ 8.12%
2-2 @ 4.55%
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 25.65%
0-1 @ 7.91%
1-2 @ 5.92%
0-2 @ 3.85%
1-3 @ 1.92%
2-3 @ 1.48%
0-3 @ 1.25%
Other @ 1.64%
Total : 23.95%


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