Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sudtirol win with a probability of 37.4%. A win for Venezia had a probability of 34.62% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sudtirol win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.92%) and 2-0 (6.9%). The likeliest Venezia win was 0-1 (10.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
-0.68) 
0.8) 
