Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ternana win with a probability of 37.41%. A win for Cremonese had a probability of 36.58% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ternana win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.29%) and 2-0 (6.26%). The likeliest Cremonese win was 0-1 (9.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.
