Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Venezia win with a probability of 38.51%. A win for Ternana had a probability of 37.24% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Venezia win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.48%) and 2-0 (5.69%). The likeliest Ternana win was 1-2 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Venezia in this match.

Result
Venezia	Draw	Ternana
38.51% ( 0.43)	24.24% ( -0.2)	37.24% ( -0.23)

Both teams to score 60.55% (

0.74)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.94% (

0.96)

42.06% (

-0.97)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.54% (

0.96)

64.46% (

-0.96)

Venezia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.13% (

0.64)

21.86% (

-0.65)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.89% (

0.97)

55.1% (

-0.97)

Ternana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.49% (

0.31)

22.51% (

-0.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.93% (

0.47)

56.07% (

-0.47)

Score Analysis

Venezia 38.51%

Ternana 37.24%

Draw 24.24%

Venezia	Draw	Ternana
2-1 @ 8.48% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 7.48% ( -0.18) 2-0 @ 5.69% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 4.3% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 3.21% ( 0.11) 3-0 @ 2.88% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.63% ( 0.07) 4-2 @ 1.22% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 1.1% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.53% Total : 38.51%	1-1 @ 11.15% ( -0.16) 2-2 @ 6.33% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 4.92% ( -0.22) 3-3 @ 1.59% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.24%	1-2 @ 8.32% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 7.34% ( -0.25) 0-2 @ 5.47% ( -0.13) 1-3 @ 4.14% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 3.14% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 2.72% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.54% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.17% ( 0.04) 0-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.38% Total : 37.24%