Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aluminij win with a probability of 43.85%. A win for NS Mura had a probability of 31.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aluminij win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.84%) and 2-0 (6.98%). The likeliest NS Mura win was 1-2 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
0.26) 
-0.07) 
