SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maribor win with a probability of 62.4%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for NK Domzale had a probability of 17.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maribor win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.94%) and 1-0 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.54%), while for a NK Domzale win it was 1-2 (4.75%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Maribor would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Maribor | Draw | NK Domzale |
62.4% ( 0.85) | 20.38% ( -0.38) | 17.21% ( -0.47) |
| Both teams to score 55.25% ( 0.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.48% ( 0.89) | 40.52% ( -0.89) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.1% ( 0.91) | 62.89% ( -0.91) |
| Maribor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.56% ( 0.52) | 12.43% ( -0.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.64% ( 1.07) | 38.36% ( -1.07) |
| NK Domzale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.09% ( -0.01) | 36.9% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.31% ( -0.01) | 73.69% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Maribor | Draw | NK Domzale |
| 2-0 @ 9.97% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.94% ( -0.01)1-0 @ 9.57% ( -0.2)3-0 @ 6.93% ( 0.13)3-1 @ 6.91% ( 0.13)4-0 @ 3.61% ( 0.14)4-1 @ 3.6% ( 0.14)3-2 @ 3.44% ( 0.06)4-2 @ 1.79% ( 0.07)5-0 @ 1.51% ( 0.09)5-1 @ 1.5% ( 0.09)Other @ 3.63% Total : 62.4% | 1-1 @ 9.54% ( -0.2) 2-2 @ 4.96% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.59% ( -0.19)3-3 @ 1.14% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.16% Total : 20.39% | 1-2 @ 4.75% ( -0.1) 0-1 @ 4.57% ( -0.19)0-2 @ 2.28% ( -0.1)2-3 @ 1.65% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.58% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.38% Total : 17.21% |
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