SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maribor win with a probability of 57.74%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Radomlje had a probability of 20.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maribor win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.69%) and 2-0 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.26%), while for a Radomlje win it was 1-2 (5.44%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Maribor would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Maribor | Draw | Radomlje |
57.74% ( -0.41) | 21.9% ( 0.15) | 20.36% ( 0.27) |
| Both teams to score 55.89% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.53% ( -0.29) | 42.46% ( 0.28) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.13% ( -0.29) | 64.86% ( 0.28) |
| Maribor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.54% ( -0.23) | 14.45% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.58% ( -0.44) | 42.41% ( 0.44) |
| Radomlje Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.33% ( 0.1) | 34.66% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.61% ( 0.11) | 71.39% ( -0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Maribor | Draw | Radomlje |
| 2-1 @ 9.93% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 9.69% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 9.37% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 6.4% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 6.04% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 3.39% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 3.1% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 2.92% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 1.64% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 1.2% ( -0.03)5-0 @ 1.13% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.92% Total : 57.74% | 1-1 @ 10.26% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.26% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 5.01% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 1.2% ( -0)Other @ 0.17% Total : 21.9% | 1-2 @ 5.44% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 5.31% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 2.81% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 1.92% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.86% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.03% Total : 20.36% |
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