While Umraniyespor have not fared well in recent weeks or throughout the season thus far, their hosts are certainly not full of confidence either and cannot see a victory over their 18th-placed visitors as a formality.
The away side were certainly not disgraced under their new manager against giants Besiktas, and we see them at least avoiding defeat on Friday.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alanyaspor win with a probability of 49.92%. A win for Umraniyespor had a probability of 28.41% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alanyaspor win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.25%) and 2-0 (6.23%). The likeliest Umraniyespor win was 1-2 (6.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alanyaspor would win this match.
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