SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fatih Karagumruk win with a probability of 43.37%. A win for Adana Demirspor had a probability of 33.77% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fatih Karagumruk win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.49%) and 2-0 (5.73%). The likeliest Adana Demirspor win was 1-2 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Adana Demirspor would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fatih Karagumruk | Draw | Adana Demirspor |
43.37% ( -0.17) | 22.86% ( 0.15) | 33.77% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 65.08% ( -0.53) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.12% ( -0.7) | 35.87% ( 0.7) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.04% ( -0.77) | 57.96% ( 0.78) |
| Fatih Karagumruk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.9% ( -0.34) | 17.1% ( 0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.7% ( -0.61) | 47.3% ( 0.62) |
| Adana Demirspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.5% ( -0.31) | 21.49% ( 0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.46% ( -0.48) | 54.54% ( 0.48) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fatih Karagumruk | Draw | Adana Demirspor |
| 2-1 @ 8.81% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 6.49% ( 0.15)2-0 @ 5.73% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 5.19% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 3.99% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 3.37% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.29% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.76% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 1.49% ( -0.02)4-3 @ 0.9% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.35% Total : 43.37% | 1-1 @ 9.98% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 6.77% ( -0.05)0-0 @ 3.68% ( 0.13)3-3 @ 2.04% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.39% Total : 22.86% | 1-2 @ 7.67% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 5.65% ( 0.14)0-2 @ 4.34% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 3.93% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 3.47% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 2.23% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.51% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.33% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.62% Total : 33.77% |
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