SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 83.02%. A draw had a probability of 11% and a win for Pendikspor had a probability of 6.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.19%) and 4-0 (8.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.01%), while for a Pendikspor win it was 1-2 (1.9%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fenerbahce | Draw | Pendikspor |
83.02% ( -0.79) | 10.97% ( 0.51) | 6.01% ( 0.29) |
| Both teams to score 50.71% ( -0.65) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 73.79% ( -1.55) | 26.2% ( 1.55) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 53.52% ( -2.01) | 46.48% ( 2.01) |
| Fenerbahce Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 95.42% ( -0.39) | 4.58% ( 0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 81.31% ( -1.24) | 18.69% ( 1.24) |
| Pendikspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.14% ( -0.46) | 46.85% ( 0.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.62% ( -0.35) | 82.38% ( 0.35) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fenerbahce | Draw | Pendikspor |
| 3-0 @ 10.48% ( 0.14) 2-0 @ 10.19% ( 0.42)4-0 @ 8.09% ( -0.12)3-1 @ 7.95% ( 0)2-1 @ 7.73% ( 0.23)1-0 @ 6.61% ( 0.46)4-1 @ 6.13% ( -0.18)5-0 @ 4.99% ( -0.23)5-1 @ 3.78% ( -0.22)3-2 @ 3.01% ( -0.04)6-0 @ 2.57% ( -0.19)4-2 @ 2.32% ( -0.1)6-1 @ 1.94% ( -0.18)5-2 @ 1.43% ( -0.1)7-0 @ 1.13% ( -0.12)Other @ 4.65% Total : 83% | 1-1 @ 5.01% ( 0.28) 2-2 @ 2.93% ( 0.05)0-0 @ 2.14% ( 0.2)Other @ 0.88% Total : 10.97% | 1-2 @ 1.9% ( 0.09) 0-1 @ 1.63% ( 0.14)Other @ 2.49% Total : 6.01% |
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