SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galatasaray win with a probability of 76.17%. A draw had a probability of 14.5% and a win for Istanbul Basaksehir had a probability of 9.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.41%) and 2-1 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.65%), while for a Istanbul Basaksehir win it was 1-2 (2.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Galatasaray in this match.
| Result | ||
| Galatasaray | Draw | Istanbul Basaksehir |
76.17% ( -0.22) | 14.47% ( 0.12) | 9.36% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 53.35% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.57% ( -0.25) | 31.43% ( 0.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 47.11% ( -0.29) | 52.89% ( 0.3) |
| Galatasaray Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.18% ( -0.09) | 6.81% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 74.88% ( -0.26) | 25.12% ( 0.26) |
| Istanbul Basaksehir Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.25% ( 0.03) | 42.74% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.92% ( 0.02) | 79.07% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Galatasaray | Draw | Istanbul Basaksehir |
| 2-0 @ 10.5% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 9.41% ( -0.02)2-1 @ 8.93% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 8% ( -0.01)1-0 @ 7.83% ( 0.07)4-0 @ 6.32% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 5.37% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 3.4% ( -0)5-0 @ 3.39% ( -0.04)5-1 @ 2.88% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 2.28% ( -0.01)6-0 @ 1.52% ( -0.03)6-1 @ 1.29% ( -0.02)5-2 @ 1.23% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.82% Total : 76.16% | 1-1 @ 6.65% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 3.8% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 2.91% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 0.15% Total : 14.47% | 1-2 @ 2.83% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 2.48% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 1.08% ( 0)0-2 @ 1.05% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.93% Total : 9.36% |
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