SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galatasaray win with a probability of 73.18%. A draw had a probability of 15.8% and a win for Istanbulspor had a probability of 11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 3-0 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.27%), while for a Istanbulspor win it was 1-2 (3.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Galatasaray would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Galatasaray | Draw | Istanbulspor |
73.18% ( 1.24) | 15.83% ( -0.57) | 11% ( -0.66) |
| Both teams to score 54.55% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.94% ( 0.95) | 33.06% ( -0.94) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.21% ( 1.08) | 54.79% ( -1.08) |
| Galatasaray Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.21% ( 0.49) | 7.79% ( -0.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 72.33% ( 1.24) | 27.67% ( -1.23) |
| Istanbulspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.16% ( -0.47) | 40.84% ( 0.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.59% ( -0.42) | 77.41% ( 0.42) |
| Score Analysis |
| Galatasaray | Draw | Istanbulspor |
| 2-0 @ 10.36% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.28% ( -0.13)3-0 @ 8.82% ( 0.2)1-0 @ 8.12% ( -0.21)3-1 @ 7.9% ( 0.08)4-0 @ 5.63% ( 0.26)4-1 @ 5.04% ( 0.17)3-2 @ 3.54% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 2.87% ( 0.2)5-1 @ 2.57% ( 0.15)4-2 @ 2.26% ( 0.05)6-0 @ 1.22% ( 0.11)5-2 @ 1.15% ( 0.05)6-1 @ 1.09% ( 0.09)Other @ 3.34% Total : 73.17% | 1-1 @ 7.27% ( -0.28) 2-2 @ 4.16% ( -0.11)0-0 @ 3.18% ( -0.16)3-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.17% Total : 15.83% | 1-2 @ 3.26% ( -0.17) 0-1 @ 2.85% ( -0.18)0-2 @ 1.28% ( -0.1)2-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.06)Other @ 1.4% Total : 11% |
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