Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 24
Feb 2, 2024 at 2pm UK
Antakya Ataturk Stadi
We said: Hatayspor 1-0 Fatih Karagumruk
Karagumruk's away form has been abysmal this season and this will give Hatayspor the upper hand in this fixture. The Star of the South will be looking to convert their home draws into wins, and this is the perfect opponent for them to achieve that.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hatayspor win with a probability of 48.88%. A win for Fatih Karagumruk had a probability of 26.59% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hatayspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (8.32%). The likeliest Fatih Karagumruk win was 0-1 (7.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hatayspor would win this match.
| Result |
| Hatayspor | Draw | Fatih Karagumruk |
48.88% ( 0.06) | 24.52% ( -0.02) | 26.59% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 54.81% ( 0.02) |
| 52.52% ( 0.05) | 47.48% ( -0.05) |
| 30.31% ( 0.04) | 69.69% ( -0.04) |
| 80.53% ( 0.04) | 19.47% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 48.66% ( 0.07) | 51.33% ( -0.07) |
| 68.06% ( -0.01) | 31.94% ( 0.01) |
