Konyaspor historically dominate Alanyaspor at home, but have struggled to make home advantage count this season. Alanyaspor are unbeaten away in four, but have not won at Konyaspor since 2020. We expect a close match, and have predicted a draw.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Konyaspor win with a probability of 43.89%. A win for Alanyaspor had a probability of 30.56% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Konyaspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (7.53%). The likeliest Alanyaspor win was 0-1 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
-0.09) 
0.03) 
