While the hosts have managed a couple of important draws in their last two matches, they have had their fair share of luck, with both their goals in those matches coming by way of penalties. The visitors have been very good in defence this season, and we fancy them to keep their fourth consecutive clean sheet in this one.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pendikspor win with a probability of 38.47%. A win for Alanyaspor had a probability of 35.92% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pendikspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (6.32%). The likeliest Alanyaspor win was 0-1 (8.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.
0.04) 
-0.03) 
