Neither Sivasspor nor Besiktas are in top form, making this match a difficult one to call. However, the visitors have several players of higher quality, which could give them the edge in the final stages.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sivasspor win with a probability of 40.85%. A win for Besiktas had a probability of 34.01% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sivasspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.77%) and 2-0 (6.6%). The likeliest Besiktas win was 0-1 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sivasspor in this match.
-0.04) 
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