Shaken by recent events and in desperate need of points to stop their descent of the table, all the pressure is on Trabzonspor this weekend. Met with a well-drilled side that has lost just three times all season, a share of the spoils would represent a decent result - and that is what they may have to settle for.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Trabzonspor win with a probability of 51.35%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Istanbul Basaksehir had a probability of 22.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Trabzonspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.98%) and 2-1 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.13%), while for a Istanbul Basaksehir win it was 0-1 (7.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Trabzonspor in this match.
0.23) 
-0.13) 
