SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Trabzonspor win with a probability of 63.16%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Samsunspor had a probability of 16.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Trabzonspor win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.58%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.76%), while for a Samsunspor win it was 0-1 (4.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Trabzonspor would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Trabzonspor | Draw | Samsunspor |
63.16% ( -0.39) | 20.6% ( 0.25) | 16.24% ( 0.15) |
| Both teams to score 52.35% ( -0.5) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.69% ( -0.83) | 43.31% ( 0.83) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.3% ( -0.82) | 65.7% ( 0.83) |
| Trabzonspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.92% ( -0.37) | 13.08% ( 0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.32% ( -0.76) | 39.68% ( 0.76) |
| Samsunspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.22% ( -0.32) | 39.78% ( 0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.55% ( -0.3) | 76.44% ( 0.3) |
| Score Analysis |
| Trabzonspor | Draw | Samsunspor |
| 2-0 @ 10.76% ( 0.1) 1-0 @ 10.58% ( 0.24)2-1 @ 9.92% ( 0)3-0 @ 7.3% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 6.73% ( -0.1)4-0 @ 3.71% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 3.42% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 3.1% ( -0.07)4-2 @ 1.58% ( -0.06)5-0 @ 1.51% ( -0.05)5-1 @ 1.39% ( -0.06)Other @ 3.15% Total : 63.16% | 1-1 @ 9.76% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 5.2% ( 0.19)2-2 @ 4.57% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.12% Total : 20.6% | 0-1 @ 4.8% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 4.5% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 2.21% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.95% Total : 16.24% |
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