Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 59.77%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 19.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.89%) and 1-0 (8.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.47%), while for a Osasuna win it was 1-2 (5.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.