SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Zurich win with a probability of 41.05%. A win for Basel had a probability of 34.71% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Zurich win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.84%) and 0-2 (6.16%). The likeliest Basel win was 2-1 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Basel | Draw | FC Zurich |
34.71% ( -1.09) | 24.24% ( -0.03) | 41.05% ( 1.12) |
| Both teams to score 60.21% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.65% ( -0.03) | 42.35% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.24% ( -0.03) | 64.76% ( 0.03) |
| Basel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76% ( -0.61) | 24% ( 0.61) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.75% ( -0.88) | 58.25% ( 0.88) |
| FC Zurich Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.22% ( 0.51) | 20.78% ( -0.51) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.58% ( 0.8) | 53.43% ( -0.8) |
| Score Analysis |
| Basel | Draw | FC Zurich |
| 2-1 @ 7.98% ( -0.15) 1-0 @ 7.12% ( -0.12)2-0 @ 5.08% ( -0.18)3-1 @ 3.8% ( -0.14)3-2 @ 2.98% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 2.42% ( -0.13)4-1 @ 1.35% ( -0.08)4-2 @ 1.06% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.93% Total : 34.71% | 1-1 @ 11.18% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.27% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 4.99% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.24% | 1-2 @ 8.79% ( 0.13) 0-1 @ 7.84% ( 0.13)0-2 @ 6.16% ( 0.2)1-3 @ 4.6% ( 0.14)2-3 @ 3.28% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 3.22% ( 0.15)1-4 @ 1.81% ( 0.08)2-4 @ 1.29% ( 0.04)0-4 @ 1.27% ( 0.08)Other @ 2.8% Total : 41.05% |
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