SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luzern win with a probability of 40.35%. A win for Lausanne Sport had a probability of 35.08% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luzern win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.12%) and 0-2 (6.2%). The likeliest Lausanne Sport win was 2-1 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.42%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lausanne Sport | Draw | Luzern |
35.08% ( -1.92) | 24.57% ( 0.17) | 40.35% ( 1.75) |
| Both teams to score 59.1% ( -0.86) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.17% ( -1.01) | 43.83% ( 1.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.78% ( -1) | 66.21% ( 1) |
| Lausanne Sport Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.52% ( -1.51) | 24.48% ( 1.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.07% ( -2.17) | 58.93% ( 2.16) |
| Luzern Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.26% ( 0.41) | 21.74% ( -0.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.08% ( 0.63) | 54.91% ( -0.63) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lausanne Sport | Draw | Luzern |
| 2-1 @ 8.04% ( -0.26) 1-0 @ 7.49% ( 0)2-0 @ 5.27% ( -0.24)3-1 @ 3.77% ( -0.3)3-2 @ 2.88% ( -0.19)3-0 @ 2.47% ( -0.23)4-1 @ 1.33% ( -0.17)4-2 @ 1.01% ( -0.11)Other @ 2.81% Total : 35.08% | 1-1 @ 11.42% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 6.14% ( -0.12)0-0 @ 5.32% ( 0.23)3-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.56% | 1-2 @ 8.72% ( 0.22) 0-1 @ 8.12% ( 0.45)0-2 @ 6.2% ( 0.42)1-3 @ 4.44% ( 0.17)0-3 @ 3.15% ( 0.25)2-3 @ 3.12% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.69% ( 0.08)0-4 @ 1.2% ( 0.11)2-4 @ 1.19% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.52% Total : 40.35% |
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