SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Servette win with a probability of 43.86%. A win for Lugano had a probability of 31.93% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Servette win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.32%) and 2-0 (6.74%). The likeliest Lugano win was 1-2 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Servette | Draw | Lugano |
43.86% ( 0.1) | 24.21% ( -0.03) | 31.93% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 59.38% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.96% ( 0.11) | 43.03% ( -0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.56% ( 0.11) | 65.44% ( -0.11) |
| Servette Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.2% ( 0.09) | 19.8% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.13% ( 0.15) | 51.87% ( -0.15) |
| Lugano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.04% ( 0.01) | 25.96% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.03% ( 0.01) | 60.96% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Servette | Draw | Lugano |
| 2-1 @ 9.09% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.32% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 6.74% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.91% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 3.64% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.31% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.99% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.47% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.34% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.05% Total : 43.86% | 1-1 @ 11.22% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.13% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 5.14% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.49% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.2% | 1-2 @ 7.57% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6.93% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 4.68% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 3.4% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.76% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.1% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.15% ( -0)2-4 @ 0.93% ( 0)Other @ 2.42% Total : 31.93% |
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