SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 62.86%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 15.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.09%) and 1-2 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.31%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 1-0 (5.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Famalicao in this match.
| Result | ||
| Estoril Praia | Draw | Famalicao |
15.37% ( 0.05) | 21.77% ( 0.13) | 62.86% ( -0.19) |
| Both teams to score 46.71% ( -0.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.17% ( -0.44) | 49.83% ( 0.43) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.17% ( -0.39) | 71.83% ( 0.39) |
| Estoril Praia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.13% ( -0.19) | 44.87% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.17% ( -0.15) | 80.82% ( 0.14) |
| Famalicao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.73% ( -0.21) | 15.27% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.03% ( -0.39) | 43.96% ( 0.39) |
| Score Analysis |
| Estoril Praia | Draw | Famalicao |
| 1-0 @ 5.49% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 4.14% ( 0)2-0 @ 2.2% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 1.11% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.04% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.4% Total : 15.37% | 1-1 @ 10.31% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 6.85% ( 0.12)2-2 @ 3.89% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.72% Total : 21.76% | 0-1 @ 12.87% ( 0.13) 0-2 @ 12.09% ( 0.04)1-2 @ 9.7% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 7.58% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 6.08% ( -0.05)0-4 @ 3.56% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 2.85% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 2.43% ( -0.03)0-5 @ 1.34% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.14% ( -0.02)1-5 @ 1.07% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.13% Total : 62.85% |
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