Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pacos de Ferreira win with a probability of 45.59%. A win for Boavista had a probability of 27.36% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pacos de Ferreira win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.85%) and 2-0 (8.76%). The likeliest Boavista win was 0-1 (9.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
