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Taca da Liga | First Round
Jul 22, 2023 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Carlos Osorio
GV

UD Oliveirense
1 - 0
Gil Vicente

Schutte (66')
Kazu (26'), Casimiro (83'), Schurrle (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Marlon (23')
Coverage of the Taca da Liga First Round clash between UD Oliveirense and Gil Vicente.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: UD Oliveirense 0-3 Arouca
Saturday, December 10 at 8.45pm in Taca da Liga
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Last Game: Gil Vicente 1-0 Casa Pia
Saturday, May 27 at 12.45pm in Primeira Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 48.47%. A win for UD Oliveirense had a probability of 28.46% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.89%) and 0-2 (7.09%). The likeliest UD Oliveirense win was 2-1 (6.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.

Result
UD OliveirenseDrawGil Vicente
28.46% (-0.923 -0.92) 23.07% (0.335 0.34) 48.47% (0.593 0.59)
Both teams to score 61.33% (-1.896 -1.9)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.43% (-2.207 -2.21)39.57% (2.211 2.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.08% (-2.339 -2.34)61.92% (2.343 2.34)
UD Oliveirense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.53% (-1.718 -1.72)26.47% (1.721 1.72)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.34% (-2.342 -2.34)61.66% (2.346 2.35)
Gil Vicente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.41% (-0.61399999999999 -0.61)16.59% (0.618 0.62)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.6% (-1.112 -1.11)46.4% (1.117 1.12)
Score Analysis
    UD Oliveirense 28.46%
    Gil Vicente 48.47%
    Draw 23.06%
UD OliveirenseDrawGil Vicente
2-1 @ 6.97% (-0.102 -0.1)
1-0 @ 5.84% (0.317 0.32)
2-0 @ 3.88% (0.024 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.09% (-0.204 -0.2)
3-2 @ 2.77% (-0.245 -0.25)
3-0 @ 1.72% (-0.075 -0.08)
4-1 @ 1.03% (-0.123 -0.12)
4-2 @ 0.92% (-0.132 -0.13)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 28.46%
1-1 @ 10.48% (0.36 0.36)
2-2 @ 6.26% (-0.225 -0.23)
0-0 @ 4.39% (0.438 0.44)
3-3 @ 1.66% (-0.185 -0.19)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 23.06%
1-2 @ 9.42% (0.132 0.13)
0-1 @ 7.89% (0.638 0.64)
0-2 @ 7.09% (0.435 0.44)
1-3 @ 5.64% (-0.037999999999999 -0.04)
0-3 @ 4.24% (0.177 0.18)
2-3 @ 3.75% (-0.217 -0.22)
1-4 @ 2.53% (-0.071 -0.07)
0-4 @ 1.91% (0.041 0.04)
2-4 @ 1.68% (-0.134 -0.13)
1-5 @ 0.91% (-0.045 -0.04)
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 48.47%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: UD Oliveirense 0-3 Arouca
Saturday, December 10 at 8.45pm in Taca da Liga
Last Game: Santa Clara 1-1 UD Oliveirense
Tuesday, November 29 at 8.45pm in Taca da Liga
Last Game: UD Oliveirense 0-0 Feirense
Saturday, November 26 at 11am in Taca da Liga
Last Game: Leixoes 2-1 UD Oliveirense
Saturday, November 19 at 11am in Taca da Liga
Last Game: Gil Vicente 1-0 Casa Pia
Saturday, May 27 at 12.45pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Guimaraes 1-0 Gil Vicente
Sunday, May 21 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Gil Vicente 3-1 Boavista
Friday, May 12 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Santa Clara 3-2 Gil Vicente
Saturday, May 6 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Gil Vicente 0-2 Benfica
Saturday, April 29 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Portimonense 1-0 Gil Vicente
Sunday, April 23 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga


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