Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 48.47%. A win for UD Oliveirense had a probability of 28.46% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.89%) and 0-2 (7.09%). The likeliest UD Oliveirense win was 2-1 (6.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
UD Oliveirense | Draw | Gil Vicente |
28.46% ( -0.92) | 23.07% ( 0.34) | 48.47% ( 0.59) |
Both teams to score 61.33% ( -1.9) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.43% ( -2.21) | 39.57% ( 2.21) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.08% ( -2.34) | 61.92% ( 2.34) |
UD Oliveirense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.53% ( -1.72) | 26.47% ( 1.72) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.34% ( -2.34) | 61.66% ( 2.35) |
Gil Vicente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.41% ( -0.61) | 16.59% ( 0.62) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.6% ( -1.11) | 46.4% ( 1.12) |
Score Analysis |
UD Oliveirense | Draw | Gil Vicente |
2-1 @ 6.97% ( -0.1) 1-0 @ 5.84% ( 0.32) 2-0 @ 3.88% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.09% ( -0.2) 3-2 @ 2.77% ( -0.25) 3-0 @ 1.72% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 1.03% ( -0.12) 4-2 @ 0.92% ( -0.13) Other @ 2.25% Total : 28.46% | 1-1 @ 10.48% ( 0.36) 2-2 @ 6.26% ( -0.23) 0-0 @ 4.39% ( 0.44) 3-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.19) Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.06% | 1-2 @ 9.42% ( 0.13) 0-1 @ 7.89% ( 0.64) 0-2 @ 7.09% ( 0.44) 1-3 @ 5.64% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 4.24% ( 0.18) 2-3 @ 3.75% ( -0.22) 1-4 @ 2.53% ( -0.07) 0-4 @ 1.91% ( 0.04) 2-4 @ 1.68% ( -0.13) 1-5 @ 0.91% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.42% Total : 48.47% |
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