Benfica were in excellent rhythm ahead of the international break, and they will be looking for a solid result here to build up some momentum before their crucial Champions League clash against Serie A leaders Inter Milan next week. We are backing the hosts to secure the victory in this one.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 60.64%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Famalicao had a probability of 17.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.31%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.58%), while for a Famalicao win it was 0-1 (5.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Benfica in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Benfica.
-0.07) 
0.04) 
