Under-20s World Cup | Round of 16
Jun 1, 2023 at 6.30pm UK
Estadio Único Madre de Ciudades
Sanyang (45+1'), Singhateh (82')
Mbye (17')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uruguay Under-20s win with a probability of 40.01%. A win for Gambia Under-20s had a probability of 35.02% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Uruguay Under-20s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.56%) and 0-2 (6.34%). The likeliest Gambia Under-20s win was 2-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Uruguay Under-20s would win this match.
| Result |
| Gambia Under-20s | Draw | Uruguay Under-20s |
35.02% ( -0.54) | 24.98% ( 0.28) | 40.01% ( 0.27) |
| Both teams to score 57.62% ( -1.07) |
| 54.25% ( -1.35) | 45.75% ( 1.35) |
| 31.93% ( -1.3) | 68.07% ( 1.3) |
| 74.58% ( -0.94) | 25.42% ( 0.94) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.77% ( -1.3) | 60.24% ( 1.31) |
| 77.26% ( -0.45) | 22.75% ( 0.46) |
