SM
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | England Under-21s | 3 | 6 | 9 |
| 2 | Israel Under-21s | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 3 | Czech Republic Under-21s | 3 | -2 | 3 |
| 4 | Germany Under-21s | 3 | -3 | 1 |
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Georgia Under-21s | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 2 | Portugal Under-21s | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 3 | Netherlands Under-21s | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Belgium Under-21s | 3 | -1 | 2 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portugal Under-21s win with a probability of 47.07%. A win for England Under-21s had a probability of 29.93% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portugal Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.42%) and 0-2 (6.65%). The likeliest England Under-21s win was 2-1 (7.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that England Under-21s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| England Under-21s | Draw | Portugal Under-21s |
29.93% ( 0.42) | 23% ( 0.04) | 47.07% ( -0.46) |
| Both teams to score 62.64% ( 0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.71% ( 0.04) | 38.28% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.43% ( 0.04) | 60.56% ( -0.04) |
| England Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.13% ( 0.28) | 24.87% ( -0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.52% ( 0.4) | 59.47% ( -0.4) |
| Portugal Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.37% ( -0.16) | 16.62% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.54% ( -0.28) | 46.45% ( 0.28) |
| Score Analysis |
| England Under-21s | Draw | Portugal Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 7.18% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 5.75% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 4% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 3.33% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 2.99% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 1.86% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.16% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.04% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.62% Total : 29.93% | 1-1 @ 10.32% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.44% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 4.13% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.79% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.31% Total : 23% | 1-2 @ 9.26% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 7.42% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 6.65% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 5.54% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 3.98% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 3.85% ( -0)1-4 @ 2.49% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 1.79% ( -0.04)2-4 @ 1.73% ( -0.01)Other @ 4.36% Total : 47.07% |
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