SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dnipro-1 win with a probability of 68.37%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Chornomorets Odesa had a probability of 12.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dnipro-1 win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.87%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.27%), while for a Chornomorets Odesa win it was 0-1 (4.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dnipro-1 would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dnipro-1 | Draw | Chornomorets Odesa |
68.37% ( 0.31) | 19.58% ( -0.13) | 12.05% ( -0.18) |
| Both teams to score 44.68% ( -0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.24% ( 0.14) | 47.76% ( -0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.05% ( 0.13) | 69.95% ( -0.13) |
| Dnipro-1 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.08% ( 0.13) | 12.92% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.64% ( 0.27) | 39.36% ( -0.27) |
| Chornomorets Odesa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.31% ( -0.21) | 48.69% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.27% ( -0.15) | 83.73% ( 0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dnipro-1 | Draw | Chornomorets Odesa |
| 2-0 @ 13.17% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 12.87% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 9.48% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 8.98% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 6.47% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 4.6% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 3.31% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.33% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.88% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 1.35% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.19% ( 0)Other @ 2.74% Total : 68.37% | 1-1 @ 9.27% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 6.29% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 3.41% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.61% Total : 19.58% | 0-1 @ 4.53% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 3.34% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 1.63% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.55% Total : 12.05% |
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