SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Oleksandriya win with a probability of 42.74%. A draw had a probability of 29.3% and a win for Chornomorets Odesa had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Oleksandriya win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.7%) and 1-2 (8.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.22%), while for a Chornomorets Odesa win it was 1-0 (10.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Chornomorets Odesa | Draw | FC Oleksandriya |
28% ( 0.36) | 29.26% ( 0.22) | 42.74% ( -0.58) |
| Both teams to score 42.27% ( -0.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.92% ( -0.52) | 64.08% ( 0.52) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.75% ( -0.38) | 83.24% ( 0.38) |
| Chornomorets Odesa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.2% ( 0.01) | 39.8% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.53% ( 0.01) | 76.47% ( -0.01) |
| FC Oleksandriya Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.22% ( -0.58) | 29.78% ( 0.58) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.15% ( -0.71) | 65.85% ( 0.71) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chornomorets Odesa | Draw | FC Oleksandriya |
| 1-0 @ 10.91% ( 0.21) 2-1 @ 6.09% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 5.03% ( 0.1)3-1 @ 1.87% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.55% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 1.13% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.41% Total : 27.99% | 1-1 @ 13.22% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 11.85% ( 0.23)2-2 @ 3.69% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.49% Total : 29.25% | 0-1 @ 14.35% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 8.7% ( -0.11)1-2 @ 8.01% ( -0.1)0-3 @ 3.51% ( -0.1)1-3 @ 3.24% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.39% Total : 42.73% |
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