SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vorskla Poltava win with a probability of 57.43%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for FC Lviv had a probability of 18.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vorskla Poltava win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.36%) and 1-2 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.32%), while for a FC Lviv win it was 1-0 (6.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vorskla Poltava would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Lviv | Draw | Vorskla Poltava |
18.54% ( 0.42) | 24.03% ( 0.03) | 57.43% ( -0.45) |
| Both teams to score 46.32% ( 0.62) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.3% ( 0.44) | 53.7% ( -0.44) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.81% ( 0.37) | 75.19% ( -0.37) |
| FC Lviv Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.85% ( 0.75) | 43.15% ( -0.75) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.58% ( 0.63) | 79.41% ( -0.63) |
| Vorskla Poltava Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.47% ( -0) | 18.53% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.24% ( -0) | 49.76% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Lviv | Draw | Vorskla Poltava |
| 1-0 @ 6.72% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 4.76% ( 0.11)2-0 @ 2.82% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 1.33% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 1.13% ( 0.05)Other @ 1.78% Total : 18.54% | 1-1 @ 11.32% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 7.99% ( -0.14)2-2 @ 4.01% ( 0.1)Other @ 0.69% Total : 24.02% | 0-1 @ 13.47% ( -0.24) 0-2 @ 11.36% ( -0.19)1-2 @ 9.55% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 6.39% ( -0.11)1-3 @ 5.37% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 2.69% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 2.26% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.26% ( 0.05)2-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.02)0-5 @ 0.91% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.23% Total : 57.43% |
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