SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zorya Luhansk win with a probability of 53.54%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Metal Kharkiv had a probability of 22.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zorya Luhansk win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.76%) and 1-2 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.51%), while for a Metal Kharkiv win it was 1-0 (6.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zorya Luhansk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Metal Kharkiv | Draw | Zorya Luhansk |
22.25% ( -0.2) | 24.21% ( -0.06) | 53.54% ( 0.26) |
| Both teams to score 51.19% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.96% ( 0.06) | 50.03% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.99% ( 0.05) | 72.01% ( -0.05) |
| Metal Kharkiv Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.9% ( -0.15) | 37.09% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.12% ( -0.16) | 73.88% ( 0.16) |
| Zorya Luhansk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.38% ( 0.12) | 18.62% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.08% ( 0.21) | 49.91% ( -0.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| Metal Kharkiv | Draw | Zorya Luhansk |
| 1-0 @ 6.85% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 5.71% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 3.4% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 1.89% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.59% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.12% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.7% Total : 22.25% | 1-1 @ 11.51% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.91% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 4.8% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.99% Total : 24.2% | 0-1 @ 11.6% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 9.76% ( 0.05)1-2 @ 9.68% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 5.47% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 5.42% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.69% ( 0)0-4 @ 2.3% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 2.28% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.13% ( 0)Other @ 3.21% Total : 53.53% |
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