SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Veres win with a probability of 40.85%. A win for Metalist Kharkiv had a probability of 31.36% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Veres win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.33%) and 0-2 (7.7%). The likeliest Metalist Kharkiv win was 1-0 (10.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Veres would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Metalist Kharkiv | Draw | Veres |
31.36% ( -0.02) | 27.79% | 40.85% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 47.65% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.92% ( -0) | 58.07% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.25% ( -0) | 78.74% ( 0) |
| Metalist Kharkiv Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.1% ( -0.02) | 33.9% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.43% ( -0.02) | 70.57% ( 0.03) |
| Veres Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.09% ( 0.01) | 27.91% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.47% ( 0.02) | 63.53% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Metalist Kharkiv | Draw | Veres |
| 1-0 @ 10.23% 2-1 @ 7.07% ( -0)2-0 @ 5.54% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2.55% ( -0)3-0 @ 2% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.63% ( -0)Other @ 2.36% Total : 31.36% | 1-1 @ 13.06% 0-0 @ 9.46% ( 0)2-2 @ 4.51% ( -0)Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.78% | 0-1 @ 12.07% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.33% ( 0)0-2 @ 7.7% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.55% ( 0)0-3 @ 3.28% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.92% 1-4 @ 1.13% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.05% ( 0)Other @ 1.82% Total : 40.84% |
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