Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Kiev win with a probability of 70.63%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Obolon Kyiv had a probability of 11.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Kiev win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.79%) and 1-2 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.66%), while for a Obolon Kyiv win it was 1-0 (3.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dynamo Kiev would win this match.