Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zorya Luhansk win with a probability of 43.44%. A draw had a probability of 28.3% and a win for Obolon Kyiv had a probability of 28.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zorya Luhansk win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.62%) and 1-2 (8.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.09%), while for a Obolon Kyiv win it was 1-0 (10.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zorya Luhansk would win this match.
Result | ||
Obolon Kyiv | Draw | Zorya Luhansk |
28.23% ( 0.01) | 28.33% ( 0.01) | 43.44% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 44.77% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
38.97% ( -0.03) | 61.03% ( 0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18.99% ( -0.02) | 81.01% ( 0.02) |
Obolon Kyiv Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.1% ( -0) | 37.9% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.32% ( -0.01) | 74.67% ( 0.01) |
Zorya Luhansk Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.09% ( -0.02) | 27.91% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.48% ( -0.03) | 63.52% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Obolon Kyiv | Draw | Zorya Luhansk |
1-0 @ 10.26% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 6.35% 2-0 @ 4.98% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.06% 3-0 @ 1.61% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.31% ( -0) Other @ 1.66% Total : 28.23% | 1-1 @ 13.09% 0-0 @ 10.57% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.06% ( -0) Other @ 0.6% Total : 28.32% | 0-1 @ 13.49% 0-2 @ 8.62% ( -0) 1-2 @ 8.36% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.67% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.56% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.73% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.17% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.14% ( -0) Other @ 1.72% Total : 43.43% |
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