SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 50.36%. A win for Dynamo Kiev had a probability of 26.85% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.03%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Dynamo Kiev win was 1-2 (6.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shakhtar Donetsk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Shakhtar Donetsk | Draw | Dynamo Kiev |
50.36% ( 0.02) | 22.78% ( 0) | 26.85% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 61.01% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.6% ( -0.03) | 39.39% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.26% ( -0.03) | 61.73% ( 0.03) |
| Shakhtar Donetsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.15% ( -0) | 15.84% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.96% ( -0.01) | 45.03% ( 0.01) |
| Dynamo Kiev Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.5% ( -0.03) | 27.5% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37% ( -0.04) | 63% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shakhtar Donetsk | Draw | Dynamo Kiev |
| 2-1 @ 9.55% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.03% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.39% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.86% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.54% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.79% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.7% 4-0 @ 2.09% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.74% ( -0)5-1 @ 1% Other @ 3.68% Total : 50.36% | 1-1 @ 10.36% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.16% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.36% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.63% ( -0)Other @ 0.27% Total : 22.78% | 1-2 @ 6.69% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.62% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.63% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.88% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.65% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.56% ( -0)1-4 @ 0.93% ( -0)Other @ 2.89% Total : 26.85% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
