SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vorskla Poltava win with a probability of 52.75%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Minai had a probability of 22.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vorskla Poltava win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.87%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.76%), while for a Minai win it was 0-1 (7.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vorskla Poltava would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Vorskla Poltava | Draw | Minai |
52.75% ( 0.01) | 24.75% ( -0) | 22.49% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 49.85% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.04% ( 0.01) | 51.96% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.3% ( 0.01) | 73.7% ( -0.01) |
| Vorskla Poltava Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.33% ( 0.01) | 19.67% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.35% ( 0.01) | 51.65% ( -0.01) |
| Minai Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.06% | 37.94% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.29% | 74.71% |
| Score Analysis |
| Vorskla Poltava | Draw | Minai |
| 1-0 @ 12.13% 2-0 @ 9.87% ( 0)2-1 @ 9.56% ( 0)3-0 @ 5.35% ( 0)3-1 @ 5.18% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.51% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.18% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.11% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.84% Total : 52.75% | 1-1 @ 11.76% 0-0 @ 7.46% ( -0)2-2 @ 4.63% ( 0)Other @ 0.9% Total : 24.75% | 0-1 @ 7.23% ( -0) 1-2 @ 5.7% ( -0)0-2 @ 3.5% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.84% 2-3 @ 1.5% 0-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 1.59% Total : 22.5% |
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