Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zorya Luhansk win with a probability of 51.48%. A win for Inhulets had a probability of 24.43% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zorya Luhansk win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.66%) and 2-0 (8.88%). The likeliest Inhulets win was 0-1 (6.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zorya Luhansk would win this match.