SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zorya Luhansk win with a probability of 62.2%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Metalist Kharkiv had a probability of 15.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zorya Luhansk win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.81%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.39%), while for a Metalist Kharkiv win it was 0-1 (5.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zorya Luhansk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Zorya Luhansk | Draw | Metalist Kharkiv |
62.2% ( 0.21) | 21.89% ( -0.07) | 15.92% ( -0.14) |
| Both teams to score 47.56% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.66% ( 0.05) | 49.34% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.61% ( 0.05) | 71.39% ( -0.05) |
| Zorya Luhansk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.68% ( 0.08) | 15.32% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.94% ( 0.16) | 44.06% ( -0.17) |
| Metalist Kharkiv Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.16% ( -0.15) | 43.83% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.01% ( -0.13) | 79.99% ( 0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Zorya Luhansk | Draw | Metalist Kharkiv |
| 1-0 @ 12.59% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 11.81% ( 0.04)2-1 @ 9.75% ( -0)3-0 @ 7.39% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 6.1% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 3.47% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 2.86% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.51% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.3% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.18% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.07% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.16% Total : 62.18% | 1-1 @ 10.39% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.71% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 4.02% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.76% Total : 21.89% | 0-1 @ 5.54% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 4.28% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 2.28% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.53% Total : 15.92% |
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