Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerro Largo win with a probability of 55.66%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Deportivo Maldonado had a probability of 20.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerro Largo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.64%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.46%), while for a Deportivo Maldonado win it was 0-1 (6.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
