Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Deportivo Maldonado win with a probability of 49.59%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Cerro had a probability of 22.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Deportivo Maldonado win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.62%) and 1-2 (8.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.59%), while for a Cerro win it was 1-0 (9.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Cerro | Draw | Deportivo Maldonado |
22.18% ( -0.79) | 28.23% ( -0.25) | 49.59% ( 1.04) |
Both teams to score 40.38% ( -0.18) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
35.87% ( 0.19) | 64.13% ( -0.19) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
16.72% ( 0.14) | 83.28% ( -0.14) |
Cerro Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
54.75% ( -0.7) | 45.25% ( 0.69) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.87% ( -0.55) | 81.13% ( 0.55) |
Deportivo Maldonado Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.76% ( 0.6) | 26.24% ( -0.6) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.65% ( 0.79) | 61.35% ( -0.8) |
Score Analysis |
Cerro | Draw | Deportivo Maldonado |
1-0 @ 9.42% ( -0.25) 2-1 @ 4.99% ( -0.15) 2-0 @ 3.73% ( -0.18) 3-1 @ 1.32% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 0.99% ( -0.07) Other @ 1.73% Total : 22.18% | 1-1 @ 12.59% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 11.87% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 3.34% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.42% Total : 28.22% | 0-1 @ 15.88% ( 0.15) 0-2 @ 10.62% ( 0.28) 1-2 @ 8.43% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 4.74% ( 0.2) 1-3 @ 3.76% ( 0.09) 0-4 @ 1.59% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 1.49% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.26% ( 0.05) Other @ 1.82% Total : 49.58% |
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