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Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 3
Feb 19, 2023 at 9pm UK
Estadio Luis Franzini

Defensor
1 - 0
La Luz

Cambon (90+5')
Rocha (49'), Bonifazi (90+7'), Cambon (90+8'), Elizari (90+9')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Porcile (42'), Mendez (90+8'), Cardozo (90+2')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Defensor Sporting and La Luz.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wanderers 1-1 Defensor
Monday, February 13 at 9.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: La Luz 3-4 Penarol
Tuesday, February 14 at 12am in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensor Sporting win with a probability of 42.95%. A win for La Luz had a probability of 30.15% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Defensor Sporting win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.73%) and 2-0 (7.93%). The likeliest La Luz win was 0-1 (9.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Defensor Sporting in this match.

Result
Defensor SportingDrawLa Luz
42.95% (-0.878 -0.88) 26.9% (-0.154 -0.15) 30.15% (1.034 1.03)
Both teams to score 49.77% (0.98 0.98)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.85% (1.006 1.01)55.15% (-1.006 -1.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.6% (0.822 0.82)76.4% (-0.821 -0.82)
Defensor Sporting Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.57% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)25.43% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.74% (0.011000000000003 0.01)60.26% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
La Luz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.74% (1.306 1.31)33.25% (-1.307 -1.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.13% (1.415 1.42)69.87% (-1.414 -1.41)
Score Analysis
    Defensor Sporting 42.95%
    La Luz 30.15%
    Draw 26.89%
Defensor SportingDrawLa Luz
1-0 @ 11.58% (-0.45 -0.45)
2-1 @ 8.73% (-0.025 -0.03)
2-0 @ 7.93% (-0.31 -0.31)
3-1 @ 3.98% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.62% (-0.14 -0.14)
3-2 @ 2.19% (0.072 0.07)
4-1 @ 1.36% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.24% (-0.048 -0.05)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 42.95%
1-1 @ 12.74% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 8.46% (-0.335 -0.33)
2-2 @ 4.8% (0.155 0.16)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 26.89%
0-1 @ 9.31% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
1-2 @ 7.02% (0.225 0.23)
0-2 @ 5.13% (0.164 0.16)
1-3 @ 2.58% (0.17 0.17)
0-3 @ 1.88% (0.124 0.12)
2-3 @ 1.76% (0.117 0.12)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 30.15%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Wanderers 1-1 Defensor
Monday, February 13 at 9.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Defensor 1-3 Fenix
Tuesday, February 7 at 12.30am in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Defensor 1-2 Velez Sarsfield
Saturday, January 14 at 9.15pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Defensor 2-3 Rentistas
Saturday, October 22 at 8.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Maldonado 0-0 Defensor
Saturday, October 15 at 10.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Defensor 1-1 Danubio
Thursday, October 13 at 1.30am in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: La Luz 3-4 Penarol
Tuesday, February 14 at 12am in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: La Luz 1-3 Wanderers
Sunday, February 5 at 12.45pm in Uruguayan Primera Division


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