Defensor
3 - 2
Plaza Colonia

Navarro (27'), Poggi (82')
Castro (32'), Gonzalez (56'), Chavez (62'), Mallo (75')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Dibble (68'), Cruz Mascia (87')
Leonai (43'), Calleros (64'), Dibble (76'), Ruiz Diaz (79'), Fernandez (81')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Defensor Sporting and Plaza Colonia.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensor Sporting win with a probability of 42.42%. A win for Plaza Colonia had a probability of 30.38% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Defensor Sporting win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (7.9%). The likeliest Plaza Colonia win was 0-1 (9.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Defensor Sporting would win this match.

Result
Defensor Sporting	Draw	Plaza Colonia
42.42%	27.19%	30.38%

Both teams to score 49.01%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.82%

56.17%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.77%

77.23%

Defensor Sporting Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.82%

26.17%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.74%

61.25%

Plaza Colonia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.38%

33.61%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.74%

70.26%

Score Analysis

Defensor Sporting 42.42%

Plaza Colonia 30.38%

Draw 27.18%

Defensor Sporting	Draw	Plaza Colonia
1-0 @ 11.79% 2-1 @ 8.62% 2-0 @ 7.9% 3-1 @ 3.85% 3-0 @ 3.53% 3-2 @ 2.1% 4-1 @ 1.29% 4-0 @ 1.18% Other @ 2.16% Total : 42.42%	1-1 @ 12.85% 0-0 @ 8.8% 2-2 @ 4.7% Other @ 0.84% Total : 27.18%	0-1 @ 9.59% 1-2 @ 7.01% 0-2 @ 5.23% 1-3 @ 2.55% 0-3 @ 1.9% 2-3 @ 1.71% Other @ 2.4% Total : 30.38%